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Modifiable Risk Factors and Attributable Ischemic Heart Disease Mortality in US States, 1990-2023

JAMA Cardiology·July 15Open Access
Cardiac & Cardiovascular SystemsPractice changingDiabetes MellitusHypercholesterolemiaHypertensionIschemic Heart DiseaseObesityCross-Sectional Study / Systematic Analysis (GBD 2023)Mixed

Summary

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What was studied

This analysis used the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 (GBD 2023) to estimate IHD mortality attributable to 12 modifiable metabolic, behavioral, and environmental risk factors across all US states from 1990–2023, stratified by age, sex, and state.

Key findings

In 2023, there were ~473,000 IHD deaths in the US, with 88.7% (95% UI, 83.4%–92.5%) attributable to modifiable risk factors. High SBP (47.2%), dietary risks (38.6%), and high LDL-C (28.5%) were the top contributors. Age-standardized IHD death rates fell 58.7% since 1990, but high BMI (+54.5%) and high fasting plasma glucose (+38.8%) attributable burdens rose substantially over the same period.

Study limitations

Full text was not accessible; findings are based on modeled estimates (GBD framework) using vital records and epidemiologic data, which carry inherent uncertainty captured in wide 95% UIs. Risk attribution may underestimate or overestimate individual risk factor contributions due to overlapping exposures and correlation between risk factors.

Clinical implications

Nearly 9 in 10 IHD deaths in the US are tied to modifiable risks — prioritize blood pressure control, dietary improvement, and LDL-C reduction in clinical practice. Rising BMI and blood glucose burdens signal an urgent need to intensify obesity and diabetes prevention efforts.

Related Questions

Explore related topics

Which risk factors contribute most to heart disease deaths in the US today?How has BMI and diabetes changed the burden of ischemic heart disease over time?What are the best interventions to reduce blood pressure and LDL-C for cardiovascular prevention?

Publication Details

Year
2026
Journal
JAMA Cardiology
Sample Size
n=473,000
Source
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