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Baseline Neutrophil‐To‐Lymphocyte Ratio as a Risk Stratification Marker for Severe Checkpoint Inhibitor Pneumonitis in Patients With Non‐Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Two‐Cohort Study With Retrospective Discovery and Prospective Validation

Respirology·June 4Open Access
Respiratory SystemSafety signalCheckpoint Inhibitor PneumonitisNon-Small Cell Lung CancerRetrospective Discovery With Prospective Validation Cohort StudyImmune Checkpoint InhibitorAdult

Summary

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What was studied

Evaluated whether baseline neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) can stratify risk for severe (grade 3–5) checkpoint inhibitor pneumonitis (CIP) occurring within 3 months in NSCLC patients receiving ICIs — using a retrospective discovery cohort (n=102) and a prospective multicenter validation cohort (n=191).

Key findings

A baseline NLR cut-off of ≥4.75 identified severe CIP risk with AUC 0.81, sensitivity 85.7%, and specificity 64.2%. Severe CIP rates were significantly higher in the high-NLR group in both cohorts (discovery: 15.0% vs. 1.6%, p=0.009; validation: 10.3% vs. 3.3%, p=0.046).

Study limitations

- Severe CIP events were rare (7 and 11 cases in each cohort), limiting statistical power. - Discovery cohort was retrospective and single-center; the prospective validation was multicenter but still relatively small. - NLR cut-off was derived in the discovery cohort and may not generalize across all ICI regimens or tumor subtypes.

Clinical implications

Consider checking baseline NLR before starting ICI therapy in NSCLC patients — a value ≥4.75 may flag those at higher risk for severe pneumonitis and warrant closer early monitoring. This is a promising but not yet practice-changing marker; it should complement, not replace, clinical judgment.

Related Questions

Explore related topics

What clinical or lab markers predict immune checkpoint inhibitor pneumonitis in lung cancer patients?How should I monitor NSCLC patients on immunotherapy for early signs of severe pneumonitis?What is the role of NLR in predicting immune-related adverse events from ICIs?

Publication Details

Year
2026
Journal
Respirology
Sample Size
n=293
Source
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