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Predictive Factors for Progression in Sickle Cell Retinopathy: Longitudinal Evaluation of a United States Cohort

American Journal of Ophthalmology·July 20
OphthalmologyPractice changingProliferative Sickle RetinopathySickle Cell RetinopathyRetrospective Cohort StudyFluorescein AngiographyOptical Coherence TomographyUltra-Widefield Fundus PhotographyMixed

Summary

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What was studied

This retrospective cohort study evaluated progression rates and risk factors for sickle cell retinopathy (SCR) in 317 patients (620 eyes) seen at the Wilmer Eye Institute between 2013–2023, with median follow-up of 7.8 years (non-proliferative) and 11.1 years (proliferative).

Key findings

Progression occurred in 10.7% of baseline non-proliferative SCR eyes and 17.0% of baseline proliferative SCR eyes. Active smoking at PSR diagnosis was the only significant predictor of progression to more advanced PSR (HR 2.78, 95% CI 1.50–5.16; q=0.005). Age, sex, genotype, hydroxyurea use, transfusions, red cell exchanges, bone marrow transplantation, and macular OCT findings were not associated with progression.

Study limitations

- Retrospective design with potential selection bias from a single tertiary center (Wilmer Eye Institute), limiting generalizability. - Relatively small proportion of eyes progressed, which may have limited power to detect associations with rarer risk factors. - OCT assessment was qualitative rather than quantitative, which may have reduced sensitivity for detecting structural correlates of progression.

Clinical implications

Counsel all patients with proliferative sickle cell retinopathy to stop smoking — active smoking nearly triples the risk of progression. Establish early ophthalmic referral and long-term surveillance for PSR patients, as nearly 1 in 5 progressed over a median of 11 years.

Caveats

  • Genotype distribution (e.g., HbSS vs. HbSC) was collected but not reported as significant — subgroup sizes are not detailed in the abstract, which may affect interpretation of null findings for genotype.
  • Sample size refers to patients (n=317); eye-level analysis used 620 eyes — some findings may conflate patient- and eye-level outcomes.
  • The impact_flag 'practice_changing' is assigned based on the smoking–PSR progression finding, which is novel and actionable, though derived from a retrospective single-center design.

Related Questions

Explore related topics

What are the current screening guidelines for sickle cell retinopathy surveillance intervals?Does hydroxyurea reduce the risk of proliferative sickle cell retinopathy progression?How does smoking cessation affect retinal vascular outcomes in sickle cell disease?

Publication Details

Year
2026
Journal
American Journal of Ophthalmology
Sample Size
n=317
Source
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