ReachRxResearch
Home
Research
Sign Up
  1. Home
  2. Research Hub
  3. Prevalence of unruptured intracranial an…

Prevalence of unruptured intracranial aneurysms according to comorbidities, risk factors, country, and time period: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The Lancet Neurology·September 1Open Access
Clinical NeurologyPractice changingAutosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney DiseaseConnective Tissue DisorderHypertensionSubarachnoid HemorrhageUnruptured Intracranial AneurysmSystematic Review And Meta-AnalysisCT AngiographyMR AngiographyAdult

Summary

View source

What was studied

This systematic review and meta-analysis examined the prevalence of unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) across comorbidities (ADPKD, connective-tissue disorders, family history, atherosclerosis), risk factors (smoking, hypertension, sex), countries, and time periods, using studies published up to Dec 31, 2025 (316,131 participants; 11,822 with UIAs).

Key findings

Estimated UIA prevalence in a reference population (age 50, 50% female, no comorbidities) was **3.9%**. Prevalence was highest in ADPKD (12.8%; adjusted PR 4.4) and connective-tissue disorders (10.3%; adjusted PR 3.9). Female sex (RR 1.9), hypertension (RR 1.6), and smoking (RR 1.4) were significant risk factors. Notably, UIA prevalence rose from 2002–2015 to 2016–2022 (adjusted PR 1.8), with large aneurysms (≥5 mm) doubling from 0.7% to 1.4%.

Study limitations

- High heterogeneity (significant τ²) across studies limits precision of pooled estimates. - Certainty of evidence ranged from **very low to moderate** per GRADE, meaning some estimates carry substantial uncertainty. - The observed rise in prevalence may partly reflect improved imaging detection (MRA/CTA) and population aging rather than a true increase in aneurysm formation.

Clinical implications

Clinicians should prioritize UIA screening in patients with ADPKD, connective-tissue disorders, or a family history of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage, as these groups carry substantially elevated prevalence (up to ~13%). The rising prevalence of UIAs—especially larger ones—argues for re-examining screening protocols and personalized management strategies for high-risk individuals.

Caveats

  • Country-level subgroup analysis showed no significant geographic differences, but heterogeneity was high across all analyses, so regional estimates should be interpreted cautiously.
  • The observed increase in UIA prevalence over time may partly reflect detection bias from more widespread, higher-resolution neuroimaging rather than a true epidemiological rise; the authors acknowledge this but cannot fully separate the two effects.
  • The PROSPERO registration number (CRD420261296728) appears unusual in format — it may be a typo in the source text.

Related Questions

Explore related topics

Which patients with ADPKD or connective tissue disorders benefit most from UIA screening?How does hypertension control affect the risk of developing intracranial aneurysms?What are the current guidelines for unruptured intracranial aneurysm surveillance and management?

Publication Details

Year
2026
Journal
The Lancet Neurology
Sample Size
n=316,131
Source
View article
Keep scrolling
More content below.
Up Next