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Effect of semaglutide on kidney outcomes in the SELECT, FLOW, and SOUL trials: a prespecified pooled analysis
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Effect of semaglutide on kidney outcomes in the SELECT, FLOW, and SOUL trials: a prespecified pooled analysis

The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology·August 7
Endocrinology & MetabolismPractice changingAtherosclerotic Cardiovascular DiseaseCardio-Kidney-Metabolic DiseaseChronic Kidney DiseaseType 2 DiabetesPooled Analysis Of Randomized Controlled TrialsGLP-1 Receptor AgonistAdultOzempicRybelsusWegovySemaglutide

Summary

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What was studied

Pooled participant-level analysis of three randomized placebo-controlled trials (SELECT, FLOW, SOUL; N=30,787) evaluating semaglutide (subcutaneous 1.0 mg weekly, subcutaneous 2.4 mg weekly, or oral 14 mg daily) versus placebo added to standard of care in adults with CKD or atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, over a mean follow-up of 39.5–47.5 months.

Key findings

Semaglutide reduced the primary kidney composite (≥50% eGFR decline, kidney failure, kidney-related death, or CV death) vs. placebo: 973 vs. 1,134 first events (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.77–0.91). The narrower kidney-only composite also favored semaglutide: 347 vs. 416 events (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.69–0.92). Serious adverse events were numerically lower with semaglutide.

Study limitations

- Three different doses and routes of administration were pooled, limiting direct comparability across formulations. - Baseline characteristics differed across trials (e.g., diabetes prevalence, CKD severity), which may introduce heterogeneity. - Funded by Novo Nordisk, introducing potential industry bias.

Clinical implications

Across a broad cardio-kidney-metabolic population—with or without diabetes—semaglutide (oral or injectable) meaningfully reduces major kidney and cardiovascular outcomes with a favorable safety profile. Clinicians should consider semaglutide for kidney protection beyond its glucose-lowering or weight-loss effects alone.

Caveats

  • Industry-funded (Novo Nordisk); potential for sponsorship bias should be considered when interpreting effect sizes.
  • The study population spans patients with and without type 2 diabetes, so subgroup-specific benefit estimates are not detailed in the abstract.
  • Three distinct semaglutide formulations and doses were pooled (SC 1.0 mg, SC 2.4 mg, oral 14 mg); effects may not be uniform across all routes and doses.

Related Questions

Explore related topics

How does semaglutide compare to SGLT2 inhibitors for kidney protection in CKD?What are the kidney outcomes of GLP-1 receptor agonists in patients without diabetes?Is semaglutide recommended for CKD patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease?

Publication Details

Year
2026
Journal
The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology
Sample Size
n=30,787
Source
View article
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