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Comparison of VPM1002 with BCG in the prevention of tuberculosis in newborn infants: a multicentre, double-blind, randomised, phase 3, non-inferiority trial

The Lancet Infectious Diseases·August 18
Infectious DiseasesLimited evidenceMycobacterium Tuberculosis InfectionTuberculosisRandomized Controlled TrialLive Attenuated Bacterial VaccineNeonateBCGVPM1002BCG VaccineVPM1002 Recombinant BCG Vaccine

Summary

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What was studied

This double-blind, randomised, phase 3 non-inferiority trial (n=6,940) compared VPM1002 (recombinant BCG) vs. standard BCG vaccine in healthy newborns (0–14 days old) across 14 sites in sub-Saharan Africa, with up to 48 months of follow-up, to assess prevention of *M. tuberculosis* infection defined by QuantiFERON-TB Gold Plus (QFT) conversion.

Key findings

VPM1002 did not demonstrate non-inferiority to BCG: QFT conversion occurred in 184/3,471 (5.3%) infants in the VPM1002 group vs. 150/3,469 (4.3%) in the BCG group (HR 1.23, 95% CI 0.99–1.53; non-inferiority threshold upper bound <1.25 not met). Serious adverse events and deaths were similar between groups, with no vaccine-related serious adverse events in either arm.

Study limitations

- The trial was underpowered: only 334 of 632 planned QFT conversion events accrued despite extending follow-up to 48 months, reducing statistical certainty. - The VPM1002 group had ~33% higher household TB exposure, introducing imbalance that could confound the primary endpoint. - The proportional hazards assumption was violated when TB exposure was included as a covariate, limiting reliability of the HR estimate.

Clinical implications

VPM1002 cannot currently be recommended over standard BCG for TB prevention in newborns based on this trial. Clinicians and TB programmes should continue using BCG vaccination in neonates while awaiting further evidence on next-generation TB vaccines.

Caveats

  • Approximately 33% higher household TB exposure in the VPM1002 group represents a potentially important post-randomisation imbalance that may have inflated the apparent infection rate in that arm.
  • Non-inferiority was narrowly missed (upper CI bound 1.53 vs. threshold 1.25), but underpowering means the true comparative efficacy remains uncertain.
  • The primary endpoint (IGRA/QFT conversion) is a surrogate for TB infection, and discordance with confirmed TB endpoints (~33%) noted by the authors adds further interpretive uncertainty.
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  • The proportional hazards assumption was violated when TB exposure was included as a covariate, meaning the reported HR should be interpreted with caution.
  • The trial was terminated early due to fewer-than-expected QFT conversion events (334 of 632 planned), which substantially limits statistical power and the ability to draw definitive conclusions about vaccine efficacy.

Related Questions

Explore related topics

What is the current evidence for next-generation TB vaccines in newborns compared to BCG?How reliable is QuantiFERON-TB Gold Plus as a primary endpoint in infant TB vaccine trials?What alternative TB vaccine candidates are in phase 3 trials for infant or pediatric populations?

Publication Details

Year
2026
Journal
The Lancet Infectious Diseases
Sample Size
n=6,940
Source
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